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Bundesliga · Germany
1. Union Berlin vs FC Köln
Our pick
Our pick for this match is published about 48 hours before kick-off.
Published , before kick-off, and never changed.
Expected goals
1. Union Berlin1.47
FC Köln1.24
Total 2.70 goals expected.
Chances by market
bookmakers' chance with their margin removed where priced, else our models'| Market | Chance | Fair price | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Home win | 38% | 2.61 | 2.63 |
| Draw | 25% | 3.94 | 3.65 |
| Away win | 36% | 2.76 | 2.62 |
| Home or draw | 77% | 1.31 | 1.20 |
| Draw or away | 48% | 2.09 | 1.92 |
| Home or away | 76% | 1.32 | 1.21 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 81% | 1.24 | 1.18 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 58% | 1.72 | 1.65 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 38% | 2.61 | 2.30 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 42% | 2.38 | 2.20 |
| Under 3.5 goals | 62% | 1.62 | 1.57 |
| Both teams score | 59% | 1.70 | 1.59 |
| Not both teams score | 41% | 2.44 | 2.23 |
A price above the fair price is worth more than the chance says; below it, the bookmaker's margin outweighs it.