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Campeonato de Portugal · Portugal
1º Dezembro vs Setubal
Full time: 1-0
Our pick
WonUnder 4.5
Chance
86%
Fair price
1.16
Take at least
1.22
- Our models: 86%.
- Expected goals: 2.7 (1º Dezembro 1.5, Setubal 1.2).
- Fair price: 1.16. No bookmaker price yet: worth taking at 1.22 or more.
Published , before kick-off, and never changed.
Expected goals
1º Dezembro1.53
Setubal1.18
Total 2.71 goals expected.
Chances by market
bookmakers' chance with their margin removed where priced, else our models'| Market | Chance | Fair price | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Home win | 41% | 2.42 | 2.20 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.71 | 3.25 |
| Away win | 32% | 3.15 | 2.80 |
| Home or draw | 71% | 1.42 | – |
| Draw or away | 54% | 1.84 | – |
| Home or away | 75% | 1.33 | – |
| Over 1.5 goals | 75% | 1.33 | – |
| Over 2.5 goals | 51% | 1.96 | – |
| Over 3.5 goals | 29% | 3.47 | – |
| Under 2.5 goals | 49% | 2.04 | – |
| Under 3.5 goals | 71% | 1.41 | – |
| Both teams score | 54% | 1.85 | – |
| Not both teams score | 46% | 2.18 | – |
A price above the fair price is worth more than the chance says; below it, the bookmaker's margin outweighs it.