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Scottish Premiership · Scotland
Aberdeen vs Falkirk
Our pick
Our pick for this match is published about 48 hours before kick-off.
Published , before kick-off, and never changed.
Expected goals
Aberdeen1.32
Falkirk1.12
Total 2.44 goals expected.
Chances by market
bookmakers' chance with their margin removed where priced, else our models'| Market | Chance | Fair price | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Home win | 48% | 2.07 | 1.97 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.79 | 3.50 |
| Away win | 25% | 3.95 | 3.64 |
| Home or draw | 74% | 1.34 | 1.25 |
| Draw or away | 52% | 1.92 | 1.79 |
| Home or away | 73% | 1.36 | 1.27 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 77% | 1.30 | 1.24 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 52% | 1.94 | 1.82 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 30% | 3.38 | 2.99 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 48% | 2.07 | 1.94 |
| Under 3.5 goals | 70% | 1.42 | 1.35 |
| Both teams score | 56% | 1.80 | 1.69 |
| Not both teams score | 44% | 2.25 | 2.07 |
A price above the fair price is worth more than the chance says; below it, the bookmaker's margin outweighs it.