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NPFL · Nigeria
Abia Warriors vs Niger Tornadoes
Full time: 0-1
Our pick
Lost1X (Home/Draw)
Chance
85%
Fair price
1.17
Take at least
1.23
- Our models: 85% to 89%.
- Expected goals: 1.9 (Abia Warriors 1.3, Niger Tornadoes 0.5).
- Fair price: 1.17. No bookmaker price yet: worth taking at 1.23 or more.
Published , before kick-off, and never changed.
Expected goals
Abia Warriors1.34
Niger Tornadoes0.55
Total 1.88 goals expected.
Chances by market
bookmakers' chance with their margin removed where priced, else our models'| Market | Chance | Fair price | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Home win | 56% | 1.79 | – |
| Draw | 29% | 3.41 | – |
| Away win | 15% | 6.79 | – |
| Home or draw | 85% | 1.17 | – |
| Draw or away | 44% | 2.27 | – |
| Home or away | 71% | 1.41 | – |
| Over 1.5 goals | 57% | 1.77 | – |
| Over 2.5 goals | 29% | 3.43 | – |
| Over 3.5 goals | 12% | 8.17 | – |
| Under 2.5 goals | 71% | 1.41 | – |
| Under 3.5 goals | 88% | 1.14 | – |
| Both teams score | 35% | 2.88 | 2.55 |
| Not both teams score | 65% | 1.53 | 1.44 |
A price above the fair price is worth more than the chance says; below it, the bookmaker's margin outweighs it.