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Campeonato de Portugal · Portugal
AC Vila Meã vs Brito SC
Full time: 1-3
Our pick
WonHome Over 0.5
Chance
81%
Fair price
1.24
Take at least
1.30
- Our models: 81%.
- Expected goals: 2.6 (AC Vila Meã 1.7, Brito SC 0.9).
- Fair price: 1.24. No bookmaker price yet: worth taking at 1.30 or more.
Published , before kick-off, and never changed.
Expected goals
AC Vila Meã1.66
Brito SC0.95
Total 2.61 goals expected.
Chances by market
bookmakers' chance with their margin removed where priced, else our models'| Market | Chance | Fair price | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Home win | 53% | 1.90 | 1.75 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.77 | 3.30 |
| Away win | 21% | 4.80 | 4.10 |
| Home or draw | 78% | 1.28 | – |
| Draw or away | 46% | 2.18 | – |
| Home or away | 76% | 1.32 | – |
| Over 1.5 goals | 73% | 1.37 | – |
| Over 2.5 goals | 48% | 2.07 | – |
| Over 3.5 goals | 27% | 3.77 | – |
| Under 2.5 goals | 52% | 1.94 | – |
| Under 3.5 goals | 73% | 1.36 | – |
| Both teams score | 49% | 2.02 | – |
| Not both teams score | 51% | 1.98 | – |
A price above the fair price is worth more than the chance says; below it, the bookmaker's margin outweighs it.