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League Two · England
Accrington vs Northampton
Our pick
Our pick for this match is published about 48 hours before kick-off.
Published , before kick-off, and never changed.
Expected goals
Accrington1.20
Northampton1.05
Total 2.25 goals expected.
Chances by market
bookmakers' chance with their margin removed where priced, else our models'| Market | Chance | Fair price | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Home win | 39% | 2.55 | – |
| Draw | 29% | 3.47 | – |
| Away win | 32% | 3.13 | – |
| Home or draw | 68% | 1.47 | – |
| Draw or away | 61% | 1.64 | – |
| Home or away | 71% | 1.41 | – |
| Over 1.5 goals | 66% | 1.52 | – |
| Over 2.5 goals | 39% | 2.56 | – |
| Over 3.5 goals | 19% | 5.26 | – |
| Under 2.5 goals | 61% | 1.64 | – |
| Under 3.5 goals | 81% | 1.23 | – |
| Both teams score | 45% | 2.20 | – |
| Not both teams score | 55% | 1.83 | – |
A price above the fair price is worth more than the chance says; below it, the bookmaker's margin outweighs it.