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1. Division · Cyprus
AEL Limassol vs Aris
Full time: 1-3
Our pick
WonHT Under 2.5
Chance
86%
Fair price
1.17
Take at least
1.23
- Our models: 86% to 86%.
- Expected goals: 2.9 (AEL Limassol 1.1, Aris 1.8).
- Fair price: 1.17. No bookmaker price yet: worth taking at 1.23 or more.
Published , before kick-off, and never changed.
Expected goals
AEL Limassol1.07
Aris1.85
Total 2.92 goals expected.
Chances by market
bookmakers' chance with their margin removed where priced, else our models'| Market | Chance | Fair price | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Home win | 22% | 4.60 | – |
| Draw | 23% | 4.35 | – |
| Away win | 55% | 1.81 | – |
| Home or draw | 45% | 2.23 | – |
| Draw or away | 78% | 1.28 | – |
| Home or away | 77% | 1.30 | – |
| Over 1.5 goals | 79% | 1.27 | – |
| Over 2.5 goals | 56% | 1.79 | – |
| Over 3.5 goals | 34% | 2.99 | – |
| Under 2.5 goals | 44% | 2.27 | – |
| Under 3.5 goals | 67% | 1.50 | – |
| Both teams score | 56% | 1.80 | – |
| Not both teams score | 44% | 2.25 | – |
A price above the fair price is worth more than the chance says; below it, the bookmaker's margin outweighs it.