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Cymru Premier · Wales
Airbus vs Caernarfon
Our pick
Our pick for this match is published about 48 hours before kick-off.
Published , before kick-off, and never changed.
Expected goals
Airbus1.75
Caernarfon1.83
Total 3.58 goals expected.
Chances by market
bookmakers' chance with their margin removed where priced, else our models'| Market | Chance | Fair price | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Home win | 38% | 2.64 | – |
| Draw | 21% | 4.72 | – |
| Away win | 41% | 2.44 | – |
| Home or draw | 59% | 1.69 | – |
| Draw or away | 62% | 1.61 | – |
| Home or away | 79% | 1.27 | – |
| Over 1.5 goals | 87% | 1.15 | – |
| Over 2.5 goals | 69% | 1.44 | – |
| Over 3.5 goals | 48% | 2.08 | – |
| Under 2.5 goals | 31% | 3.27 | – |
| Under 3.5 goals | 52% | 1.93 | – |
| Both teams score | 69% | 1.45 | – |
| Not both teams score | 31% | 3.23 | – |
A price above the fair price is worth more than the chance says; below it, the bookmaker's margin outweighs it.