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Saudi Pro League · Saudi Arabia
Al-Shabab vs Al-Ahli
Our pick
Our pick for this match is published about 48 hours before kick-off.
Published , before kick-off, and never changed.
Expected goals
Al-Shabab1.08
Al-Ahli1.91
Total 2.99 goals expected.
Chances by market
bookmakers' chance with their margin removed where priced, else our models'| Market | Chance | Fair price | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Home win | 26% | 3.79 | 3.50 |
| Draw | 23% | 4.30 | 3.93 |
| Away win | 50% | 1.99 | 1.89 |
| Home or draw | 51% | 1.98 | 1.83 |
| Draw or away | 73% | 1.36 | 1.26 |
| Home or away | 76% | 1.32 | 1.22 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 84% | 1.19 | 1.15 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 62% | 1.61 | 1.52 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 39% | 2.54 | 2.34 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 38% | 2.63 | 2.41 |
| Under 3.5 goals | 61% | 1.65 | 1.56 |
| Both teams score | 63% | 1.58 | 1.48 |
| Not both teams score | 37% | 2.73 | 2.45 |
A price above the fair price is worth more than the chance says; below it, the bookmaker's margin outweighs it.