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Primera A · Colombia
Alianza Valledupar FC vs Deportivo La Equidad
Full time: 1-0
Our pick
LostSH Over 0.5
Chance
77%
Fair price
1.30
Take at least
1.37
- Our models: 77%.
- Expected goals: 2.6 (Alianza Valledupar FC 1.4, Deportivo La Equidad 1.2).
- Fair price: 1.30. No bookmaker price yet: worth taking at 1.37 or more.
Published , before kick-off, and never changed.
Expected goals
Alianza Valledupar FC1.45
Deportivo La Equidad1.19
Total 2.63 goals expected.
Chances by market
bookmakers' chance with their margin removed where priced, else our models'| Market | Chance | Fair price | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Home win | 42% | 2.38 | – |
| Draw | 28% | 3.60 | – |
| Away win | 30% | 3.31 | – |
| Home or draw | 70% | 1.43 | – |
| Draw or away | 58% | 1.73 | – |
| Home or away | 72% | 1.38 | – |
| Over 1.5 goals | 75% | 1.34 | – |
| Over 2.5 goals | 49% | 2.04 | – |
| Over 3.5 goals | 27% | 3.68 | – |
| Under 2.5 goals | 51% | 1.96 | – |
| Under 3.5 goals | 73% | 1.37 | – |
| Both teams score | 54% | 1.85 | – |
| Not both teams score | 46% | 2.18 | – |
A price above the fair price is worth more than the chance says; below it, the bookmaker's margin outweighs it.