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Série B · Brazil
América Mineiro vs Cuiabá
Our pick
86% chanceUnder 3.5
Chance
86%
Fair price
1.17
Take at least
1.23
- Our models: 85%.
- Expected goals: 2.0 (América Mineiro 1.0, Cuiabá 1.0).
- Fair price: 1.17. No bookmaker price yet: worth taking at 1.23 or more.
Published , before kick-off, and never changed.
Expected goals
América Mineiro0.98
Cuiabá1.03
Total 2.01 goals expected.
Chances by market
bookmakers' chance with their margin removed where priced, else our models'| Market | Chance | Fair price | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Home win | 33% | 3.00 | – |
| Draw | 31% | 3.24 | – |
| Away win | 36% | 2.80 | – |
| Home or draw | 64% | 1.56 | – |
| Draw or away | 67% | 1.50 | – |
| Home or away | 69% | 1.45 | – |
| Over 1.5 goals | 60% | 1.67 | – |
| Over 2.5 goals | 33% | 3.06 | – |
| Over 3.5 goals | 14% | 6.90 | – |
| Under 2.5 goals | 67% | 1.49 | – |
| Under 3.5 goals | 86% | 1.17 | – |
| Both teams score | 40% | 2.48 | – |
| Not both teams score | 60% | 1.67 | – |
A price above the fair price is worth more than the chance says; below it, the bookmaker's margin outweighs it.