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National 1 · France
Amiens vs Thionville
Our pick
Our pick for this match is published about 48 hours before kick-off.
Published , before kick-off, and never changed.
Expected goals
Amiens1.50
Thionville1.28
Total 2.78 goals expected.
Chances by market
bookmakers' chance with their margin removed where priced, else our models'| Market | Chance | Fair price | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Home win | 41% | 2.41 | – |
| Draw | 27% | 3.75 | – |
| Away win | 32% | 3.14 | – |
| Home or draw | 68% | 1.47 | – |
| Draw or away | 59% | 1.71 | – |
| Home or away | 73% | 1.36 | – |
| Over 1.5 goals | 77% | 1.29 | – |
| Over 2.5 goals | 53% | 1.90 | – |
| Over 3.5 goals | 30% | 3.29 | – |
| Under 2.5 goals | 47% | 2.11 | – |
| Under 3.5 goals | 70% | 1.44 | – |
| Both teams score | 57% | 1.76 | – |
| Not both teams score | 43% | 2.32 | – |
A price above the fair price is worth more than the chance says; below it, the bookmaker's margin outweighs it.