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Ligue 1 · France
Angers vs Lorient
Full time: 0-0
Our pick
WonUnder 3.5
Chance
74%
Fair price
1.36
Best price found
1.30
- Bookmakers' combined chance, margin removed: 74% (3 bookmakers).
- Our models: 77%.
- Expected goals: 2.4 (Angers 1.1, Lorient 1.3).
- Fair price: 1.36. Best price found: 1.30.
Published , before kick-off, and never changed.
Expected goals
Angers1.11
Lorient1.32
Total 2.44 goals expected.
Chances by market
bookmakers' chance with their margin removed where priced, else our models'| Market | Chance | Fair price | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Home win | 32% | 3.08 | 2.89 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.51 | 3.27 |
| Away win | 39% | 2.56 | 2.42 |
| Home or draw | 61% | 1.65 | 1.54 |
| Draw or away | 68% | 1.47 | 1.37 |
| Home or away | 71% | 1.40 | 1.31 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 73% | 1.38 | 1.32 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 47% | 2.11 | 2.01 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 26% | 3.81 | 3.38 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 53% | 1.90 | 1.81 |
| Under 3.5 goals | 74% | 1.36 | 1.30 |
| Both teams score | 53% | 1.87 | 1.75 |
| Not both teams score | 47% | 2.15 | 1.99 |
A price above the fair price is worth more than the chance says; below it, the bookmaker's margin outweighs it.