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1. Division · Cyprus
APOEL vs Omonia 29th May
Full time: 4-1
Our pick
Won12 (Home/Away)
Chance
84%
Fair price
1.19
Take at least
1.25
- Our models: 84%.
- Expected goals: 3.2 (APOEL 2.5, Omonia 29th May 0.8).
- Fair price: 1.19. No bookmaker price yet: worth taking at 1.25 or more.
Published , before kick-off, and never changed.
Expected goals
APOEL2.48
Omonia 29th May0.78
Total 3.25 goals expected.
Chances by market
bookmakers' chance with their margin removed where priced, else our models'| Market | Chance | Fair price | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Home win | 74% | 1.34 | – |
| Draw | 16% | 6.27 | – |
| Away win | 10% | 10.46 | – |
| Home or draw | 90% | 1.11 | – |
| Draw or away | 26% | 3.92 | – |
| Home or away | 84% | 1.19 | – |
| Over 1.5 goals | 84% | 1.20 | – |
| Over 2.5 goals | 63% | 1.59 | – |
| Over 3.5 goals | 41% | 2.45 | – |
| Under 2.5 goals | 37% | 2.70 | – |
| Under 3.5 goals | 59% | 1.69 | – |
| Both teams score | 49% | 2.02 | – |
| Not both teams score | 51% | 1.98 | – |
A price above the fair price is worth more than the chance says; below it, the bookmaker's margin outweighs it.