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NIFL Championship · Northern Ireland
Ards vs Newry City
Our pick
Our pick for this match is published about 48 hours before kick-off.
Published , before kick-off, and never changed.
Expected goals
Ards1.71
Newry City1.14
Total 2.85 goals expected.
Chances by market
bookmakers' chance with their margin removed where priced, else our models'| Market | Chance | Fair price | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Home win | 51% | 1.95 | – |
| Draw | 23% | 4.28 | – |
| Away win | 25% | 3.93 | – |
| Home or draw | 75% | 1.34 | – |
| Draw or away | 49% | 2.05 | – |
| Home or away | 77% | 1.30 | – |
| Over 1.5 goals | 77% | 1.29 | – |
| Over 2.5 goals | 54% | 1.84 | – |
| Over 3.5 goals | 32% | 3.14 | – |
| Under 2.5 goals | 46% | 2.18 | – |
| Under 3.5 goals | 68% | 1.47 | – |
| Both teams score | 55% | 1.81 | – |
| Not both teams score | 45% | 2.24 | – |
A price above the fair price is worth more than the chance says; below it, the bookmaker's margin outweighs it.