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Liga Profesional · Argentina
Argentinos Juniors vs Independiente Rivadavia
Our pick
83% chanceUnder 3.5
Chance
83%
Fair price
1.21
Take at least
1.27
- Our models: 82% to 83%.
- Expected goals: 2.2 (Argentinos Juniors 1.3, Independiente Rivadavia 0.8).
- Fair price: 1.21. No bookmaker price yet: worth taking at 1.27 or more.
Published , before kick-off, and never changed.
Expected goals
Argentinos Juniors1.35
Independiente Rivadavia0.82
Total 2.16 goals expected.
Chances by market
bookmakers' chance with their margin removed where priced, else our models'| Market | Chance | Fair price | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Home win | 48% | 2.07 | – |
| Draw | 30% | 3.32 | – |
| Away win | 22% | 4.61 | – |
| Home or draw | 78% | 1.28 | – |
| Draw or away | 52% | 1.93 | – |
| Home or away | 70% | 1.43 | – |
| Over 1.5 goals | 65% | 1.55 | – |
| Over 2.5 goals | 37% | 2.72 | – |
| Over 3.5 goals | 17% | 5.77 | – |
| Under 2.5 goals | 63% | 1.58 | – |
| Under 3.5 goals | 83% | 1.21 | – |
| Both teams score | 42% | 2.37 | – |
| Not both teams score | 58% | 1.73 | – |
A price above the fair price is worth more than the chance says; below it, the bookmaker's margin outweighs it.