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Serie C · Italy
Arzignano vs Novara
Full time: 2-0
Our pick
WonUnder 3.5
Chance
81%
Fair price
1.23
Take at least
1.29
- Our models: 81%.
- Expected goals: 2.2 (Arzignano 1.3, Novara 0.9).
- Fair price: 1.23. No bookmaker price yet: worth taking at 1.29 or more.
Published , before kick-off, and never changed.
Expected goals
Arzignano1.31
Novara0.93
Total 2.24 goals expected.
Chances by market
bookmakers' chance with their margin removed where priced, else our models'| Market | Chance | Fair price | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Home win | 45% | 2.24 | – |
| Draw | 30% | 3.35 | – |
| Away win | 25% | 3.93 | – |
| Home or draw | 75% | 1.34 | – |
| Draw or away | 55% | 1.81 | – |
| Home or away | 70% | 1.43 | – |
| Over 1.5 goals | 66% | 1.51 | – |
| Over 2.5 goals | 39% | 2.58 | – |
| Over 3.5 goals | 19% | 5.30 | – |
| Under 2.5 goals | 61% | 1.63 | – |
| Under 3.5 goals | 81% | 1.23 | – |
| Both teams score | 45% | 2.22 | – |
| Not both teams score | 55% | 1.82 | – |
A price above the fair price is worth more than the chance says; below it, the bookmaker's margin outweighs it.