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Premier League · England
Aston Villa vs Fulham
Our pick
Our pick for this match is published about 48 hours before kick-off.
Published , before kick-off, and never changed.
Expected goals
Aston Villa1.64
Fulham1.16
Total 2.79 goals expected.
Chances by market
bookmakers' chance with their margin removed where priced, else our models'| Market | Chance | Fair price | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Home win | 50% | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| Draw | 25% | 4.01 | 4.00 |
| Away win | 25% | 3.98 | 4.10 |
| Home or draw | 73% | 1.37 | – |
| Draw or away | 52% | 1.94 | – |
| Home or away | 75% | 1.33 | – |
| Over 1.5 goals | 77% | 1.30 | – |
| Over 2.5 goals | 55% | 1.82 | 1.74 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 31% | 3.26 | – |
| Under 2.5 goals | 45% | 2.22 | 2.20 |
| Under 3.5 goals | 69% | 1.44 | – |
| Both teams score | 55% | 1.81 | – |
| Not both teams score | 45% | 2.24 | – |
A price above the fair price is worth more than the chance says; below it, the bookmaker's margin outweighs it.