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Campeonato de Portugal · Portugal
At. Malveira vs Benfica Castelo Branco
Our pick
Our pick for this match is published about 48 hours before kick-off.
Published , before kick-off, and never changed.
Expected goals
At. Malveira1.27
Benfica Castelo Branco1.47
Total 2.75 goals expected.
Chances by market
bookmakers' chance with their margin removed where priced, else our models'| Market | Chance | Fair price | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Home win | 33% | 3.05 | – |
| Draw | 25% | 3.98 | – |
| Away win | 42% | 2.38 | – |
| Home or draw | 58% | 1.73 | – |
| Draw or away | 67% | 1.49 | – |
| Home or away | 75% | 1.34 | – |
| Over 1.5 goals | 76% | 1.32 | – |
| Over 2.5 goals | 52% | 1.93 | – |
| Over 3.5 goals | 30% | 3.38 | – |
| Under 2.5 goals | 48% | 2.07 | – |
| Under 3.5 goals | 70% | 1.42 | – |
| Both teams score | 55% | 1.81 | – |
| Not both teams score | 45% | 2.24 | – |
A price above the fair price is worth more than the chance says; below it, the bookmaker's margin outweighs it.