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Liga MX · Mexico
Atlas FC vs Club Puebla
Full time: 4-3
Our pick
Won1X (Home/Draw)
Chance
80%
Fair price
1.26
Best price found
1.16
- Bookmakers' combined chance, margin removed: 80% (5 bookmakers).
- Our models: 79% to 80%.
- Expected goals: 2.8 (Atlas FC 1.8, Club Puebla 1.0).
- Fair price: 1.26. Best price found: 1.16.
Published , before kick-off, and never changed.
Expected goals
Atlas FC1.75
Club Puebla1.01
Total 2.76 goals expected.
Chances by market
bookmakers' chance with their margin removed where priced, else our models'| Market | Chance | Fair price | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Home win | 56% | 1.80 | 1.70 |
| Draw | 25% | 4.06 | 3.65 |
| Away win | 20% | 5.04 | 4.46 |
| Home or draw | 80% | 1.26 | 1.16 |
| Draw or away | 45% | 2.24 | 2.07 |
| Home or away | 76% | 1.32 | 1.22 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 77% | 1.29 | 1.24 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 52% | 1.93 | 1.81 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 29% | 3.39 | 3.03 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 48% | 2.08 | 1.95 |
| Under 3.5 goals | 71% | 1.42 | 1.35 |
| Both teams score | 53% | 1.89 | 1.77 |
| Not both teams score | 47% | 2.12 | 1.96 |
A price above the fair price is worth more than the chance says; below it, the bookmaker's margin outweighs it.