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Série A · Brazil
Atlético Mineiro vs Cruzeiro
Our pick
Our pick for this match is published about 48 hours before kick-off.
Published , before kick-off, and never changed.
Expected goals
Atlético Mineiro1.29
Cruzeiro1.08
Total 2.37 goals expected.
Chances by market
bookmakers' chance with their margin removed where priced, else our models'| Market | Chance | Fair price | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Home win | 39% | 2.55 | 2.42 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.64 | 3.40 |
| Away win | 33% | 3.00 | 2.82 |
| Home or draw | 66% | 1.51 | 1.42 |
| Draw or away | 62% | 1.63 | 1.53 |
| Home or away | 72% | 1.39 | 1.30 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 73% | 1.36 | 1.30 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 49% | 2.06 | 1.93 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 27% | 3.75 | 3.33 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 51% | 1.95 | 1.84 |
| Under 3.5 goals | 73% | 1.36 | 1.30 |
| Both teams score | 54% | 1.85 | 1.73 |
| Not both teams score | 46% | 2.17 | 2.00 |
A price above the fair price is worth more than the chance says; below it, the bookmaker's margin outweighs it.