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Primera A · Colombia
Atlético Nacional vs Independiente Santa Fe
Our pick
Our pick for this match is published about 48 hours before kick-off.
Published , before kick-off, and never changed.
Expected goals
Atlético Nacional1.64
Independiente Santa Fe0.90
Total 2.54 goals expected.
Chances by market
bookmakers' chance with their margin removed where priced, else our models'| Market | Chance | Fair price | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Home win | 63% | 1.60 | 1.52 |
| Draw | 23% | 4.36 | 3.94 |
| Away win | 14% | 6.95 | 6.01 |
| Home or draw | 84% | 1.18 | 1.10 |
| Draw or away | 39% | 2.58 | 2.40 |
| Home or away | 77% | 1.30 | 1.21 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 76% | 1.32 | 1.26 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 51% | 1.96 | 1.84 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 28% | 3.54 | 3.12 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 49% | 2.04 | 1.91 |
| Under 3.5 goals | 72% | 1.39 | 1.32 |
| Both teams score | 49% | 2.05 | 1.90 |
| Not both teams score | 51% | 1.96 | 1.82 |
A price above the fair price is worth more than the chance says; below it, the bookmaker's margin outweighs it.