← All predictions
Ligue 1 · France
Auxerre vs Le Mans
Full time: 1-1
Our pick
WonOver 1.5
Chance
80%
Fair price
1.25
Best price found
1.20
- Bookmakers' combined chance, margin removed: 80% (3 bookmakers).
- Our models: 72% to 74%.
- Expected goals: 2.6 (Auxerre 1.6, Le Mans 1.0).
- Fair price: 1.25. Best price found: 1.20.
Published , before kick-off, and never changed.
Expected goals
Auxerre1.57
Le Mans1.05
Total 2.62 goals expected.
Chances by market
bookmakers' chance with their margin removed where priced, else our models'| Market | Chance | Fair price | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Home win | 46% | 2.19 | 2.09 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.83 | 3.57 |
| Away win | 28% | 3.55 | 3.32 |
| Home or draw | 71% | 1.40 | 1.31 |
| Draw or away | 55% | 1.82 | 1.71 |
| Home or away | 74% | 1.36 | 1.27 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 80% | 1.25 | 1.20 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 56% | 1.78 | 1.70 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 34% | 2.92 | 2.69 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 44% | 2.29 | 2.16 |
| Under 3.5 goals | 66% | 1.52 | 1.45 |
| Both teams score | 59% | 1.68 | 1.59 |
| Not both teams score | 41% | 2.46 | 2.26 |
A price above the fair price is worth more than the chance says; below it, the bookmaker's margin outweighs it.