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Eredivisie · Netherlands
AZ Alkmaar vs Twente
Full time: 0-2
Our pick
WonOver 1.5
Chance
86%
Fair price
1.16
Best price found
1.12
- Bookmakers' combined chance, margin removed: 86% (4 bookmakers).
- Our models: 78%.
- Expected goals: 2.9 (AZ Alkmaar 1.5, Twente 1.3).
- Fair price: 1.16. Best price found: 1.12.
Published , before kick-off, and never changed.
Expected goals
AZ Alkmaar1.52
Twente1.34
Total 2.86 goals expected.
Chances by market
bookmakers' chance with their margin removed where priced, else our models'| Market | Chance | Fair price | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Home win | 43% | 2.30 | 2.17 |
| Draw | 24% | 4.18 | 3.82 |
| Away win | 33% | 3.06 | 2.85 |
| Home or draw | 67% | 1.48 | 1.38 |
| Draw or away | 57% | 1.74 | 1.63 |
| Home or away | 75% | 1.33 | 1.24 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 86% | 1.16 | 1.12 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 67% | 1.50 | 1.43 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 45% | 2.24 | 2.10 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 33% | 3.02 | 2.75 |
| Under 3.5 goals | 55% | 1.81 | 1.72 |
| Both teams score | 68% | 1.48 | 1.40 |
| Not both teams score | 32% | 3.10 | 2.78 |
A price above the fair price is worth more than the chance says; below it, the bookmaker's margin outweighs it.