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FAW Championship (North & South) · Wales
Baglan Dragons vs Treowen
Our pick
Our pick for this match is published about 48 hours before kick-off.
Published , before kick-off, and never changed.
Expected goals
Baglan Dragons1.43
Treowen1.49
Total 2.92 goals expected.
Chances by market
bookmakers' chance with their margin removed where priced, else our models'| Market | Chance | Fair price | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Home win | 37% | 2.72 | – |
| Draw | 24% | 4.23 | – |
| Away win | 40% | 2.53 | – |
| Home or draw | 60% | 1.66 | – |
| Draw or away | 63% | 1.58 | – |
| Home or away | 76% | 1.31 | – |
| Over 1.5 goals | 78% | 1.28 | – |
| Over 2.5 goals | 56% | 1.79 | – |
| Over 3.5 goals | 34% | 2.98 | – |
| Under 2.5 goals | 44% | 2.27 | – |
| Under 3.5 goals | 66% | 1.50 | – |
| Both teams score | 58% | 1.71 | – |
| Not both teams score | 42% | 2.41 | – |
A price above the fair price is worth more than the chance says; below it, the bookmaker's margin outweighs it.