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Série A · Brazil
Bahia vs São Paulo
Our pick
Our pick for this match is published about 48 hours before kick-off.
Published , before kick-off, and never changed.
Expected goals
Bahia1.50
São Paulo1.01
Total 2.51 goals expected.
Chances by market
bookmakers' chance with their margin removed where priced, else our models'| Market | Chance | Fair price | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Home win | 48% | 2.09 | 1.99 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.83 | 3.55 |
| Away win | 26% | 3.83 | 3.55 |
| Home or draw | 73% | 1.37 | 1.29 |
| Draw or away | 53% | 1.87 | 1.76 |
| Home or away | 73% | 1.36 | 1.28 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 76% | 1.31 | 1.26 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 51% | 1.96 | 1.85 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 29% | 3.42 | 3.09 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 49% | 2.05 | 1.93 |
| Under 3.5 goals | 71% | 1.41 | 1.35 |
| Both teams score | 55% | 1.81 | 1.69 |
| Not both teams score | 45% | 2.24 | 2.06 |
A price above the fair price is worth more than the chance says; below it, the bookmaker's margin outweighs it.