← All predictions
NPFL · Nigeria
Barau FC vs Kwara United
Full time: 1-1
Our pick
WonHT Under 1.5
Chance
80%
Fair price
1.25
Take at least
1.31
- Our models: 79% to 80%.
- Expected goals: 1.8 (Barau FC 1.4, Kwara United 0.4).
- Fair price: 1.25. No bookmaker price yet: worth taking at 1.31 or more.
Published , before kick-off, and never changed.
Expected goals
Barau FC1.40
Kwara United0.44
Total 1.83 goals expected.
Chances by market
bookmakers' chance with their margin removed where priced, else our models'| Market | Chance | Fair price | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Home win | 61% | 1.64 | – |
| Draw | 28% | 3.57 | – |
| Away win | 11% | 8.97 | – |
| Home or draw | 89% | 1.13 | – |
| Draw or away | 39% | 2.55 | – |
| Home or away | 72% | 1.39 | – |
| Over 1.5 goals | 55% | 1.82 | – |
| Over 2.5 goals | 28% | 3.59 | – |
| Over 3.5 goals | 11% | 8.76 | – |
| Under 2.5 goals | 72% | 1.39 | – |
| Under 3.5 goals | 89% | 1.13 | – |
| Both teams score | 34% | 2.95 | 2.60 |
| Not both teams score | 66% | 1.51 | 1.42 |
A price above the fair price is worth more than the chance says; below it, the bookmaker's margin outweighs it.