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La Liga · Spain
Barcelona vs Deportivo Alavés
Our pick
Our pick for this match is published about 48 hours before kick-off.
Published , before kick-off, and never changed.
Expected goals
Barcelona2.79
Deportivo Alavés0.91
Total 3.69 goals expected.
Chances by market
bookmakers' chance with their margin removed where priced, else our models'| Market | Chance | Fair price | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Home win | 86% | 1.16 | 1.15 |
| Draw | 10% | 10.19 | 9.50 |
| Away win | 4% | 25.41 | 32.05 |
| Home or draw | 91% | 1.10 | – |
| Draw or away | 24% | 4.23 | – |
| Home or away | 86% | 1.17 | – |
| Over 1.5 goals | 88% | 1.13 | – |
| Over 2.5 goals | 78% | 1.29 | 1.27 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 59% | 1.69 | 1.60 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 22% | 4.46 | 4.40 |
| Under 3.5 goals | 41% | 2.44 | 2.25 |
| Both teams score | 56% | 1.79 | – |
| Not both teams score | 44% | 2.27 | – |
A price above the fair price is worth more than the chance says; below it, the bookmaker's margin outweighs it.