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Premier League · England
Bournemouth vs Leeds
Our pick
Our pick for this match is published about 48 hours before kick-off.
Published , before kick-off, and never changed.
Expected goals
Bournemouth1.64
Leeds1.24
Total 2.88 goals expected.
Chances by market
bookmakers' chance with their margin removed where priced, else our models'| Market | Chance | Fair price | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Home win | 45% | 2.23 | 2.22 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.74 | 3.60 |
| Away win | 28% | 3.52 | 3.45 |
| Home or draw | 71% | 1.40 | – |
| Draw or away | 53% | 1.88 | – |
| Home or away | 76% | 1.32 | – |
| Over 1.5 goals | 78% | 1.28 | – |
| Over 2.5 goals | 52% | 1.91 | 1.87 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 33% | 3.07 | – |
| Under 2.5 goals | 48% | 2.09 | 2.00 |
| Under 3.5 goals | 67% | 1.48 | – |
| Both teams score | 57% | 1.74 | – |
| Not both teams score | 43% | 2.34 | – |
A price above the fair price is worth more than the chance says; below it, the bookmaker's margin outweighs it.