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Segunda División · Spain
Burgos vs Castellon
Our pick
Our pick for this match is published about 48 hours before kick-off.
Published , before kick-off, and never changed.
Expected goals
Burgos1.17
Castellon1.11
Total 2.28 goals expected.
Chances by market
bookmakers' chance with their margin removed where priced, else our models'| Market | Chance | Fair price | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Home win | 37% | 2.69 | – |
| Draw | 29% | 3.48 | – |
| Away win | 34% | 2.94 | – |
| Home or draw | 66% | 1.52 | – |
| Draw or away | 63% | 1.59 | – |
| Home or away | 71% | 1.40 | – |
| Over 1.5 goals | 67% | 1.50 | – |
| Over 2.5 goals | 40% | 2.51 | – |
| Over 3.5 goals | 20% | 5.10 | – |
| Under 2.5 goals | 60% | 1.66 | – |
| Under 3.5 goals | 80% | 1.24 | – |
| Both teams score | 46% | 2.16 | – |
| Not both teams score | 54% | 1.86 | – |
A price above the fair price is worth more than the chance says; below it, the bookmaker's margin outweighs it.