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Championship · England
Burnley vs Portsmouth
Our pick
Our pick for this match is published about 48 hours before kick-off.
Published , before kick-off, and never changed.
Expected goals
Burnley1.62
Portsmouth0.92
Total 2.54 goals expected.
Chances by market
bookmakers' chance with their margin removed where priced, else our models'| Market | Chance | Fair price | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Home win | 54% | 1.86 | – |
| Draw | 25% | 4.01 | – |
| Away win | 21% | 4.72 | – |
| Home or draw | 79% | 1.27 | – |
| Draw or away | 46% | 2.17 | – |
| Home or away | 75% | 1.33 | – |
| Over 1.5 goals | 72% | 1.39 | – |
| Over 2.5 goals | 47% | 2.14 | – |
| Over 3.5 goals | 25% | 3.98 | – |
| Under 2.5 goals | 53% | 1.87 | – |
| Under 3.5 goals | 75% | 1.34 | – |
| Both teams score | 48% | 2.07 | – |
| Not both teams score | 52% | 1.93 | – |
A price above the fair price is worth more than the chance says; below it, the bookmaker's margin outweighs it.