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Segunda División · Spain
Cadiz vs Ceuta
Full time: 3-1
Our pick
Won1X (Home/Draw)
Chance
76%
Fair price
1.31
Best price found
1.22
- Bookmakers' combined chance, margin removed: 76% (5 bookmakers).
- Our models: 74% to 75%.
- Expected goals: 2.5 (Cadiz 1.5, Ceuta 1.0).
- Fair price: 1.31. Best price found: 1.22.
Published , before kick-off, and never changed.
Expected goals
Cadiz1.47
Ceuta1.03
Total 2.50 goals expected.
Chances by market
bookmakers' chance with their margin removed where priced, else our models'| Market | Chance | Fair price | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Home win | 50% | 2.01 | 1.88 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.78 | 3.41 |
| Away win | 24% | 4.22 | 3.78 |
| Home or draw | 76% | 1.31 | 1.22 |
| Draw or away | 50% | 2.00 | 1.86 |
| Home or away | 74% | 1.36 | 1.26 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 75% | 1.33 | 1.27 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50% | 2.00 | 1.90 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 28% | 3.58 | 3.22 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 50% | 2.00 | 1.90 |
| Under 3.5 goals | 72% | 1.39 | 1.33 |
| Both teams score | 54% | 1.87 | 1.74 |
| Not both teams score | 46% | 2.15 | 1.98 |
A price above the fair price is worth more than the chance says; below it, the bookmaker's margin outweighs it.