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FAW Championship (North & South) · Wales
Caerphilly vs Caerau Ely
Our pick
Our pick for this match is published about 48 hours before kick-off.
Published , before kick-off, and never changed.
Expected goals
Caerphilly1.61
Caerau Ely1.65
Total 3.26 goals expected.
Chances by market
bookmakers' chance with their margin removed where priced, else our models'| Market | Chance | Fair price | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Home win | 38% | 2.63 | – |
| Draw | 22% | 4.49 | – |
| Away win | 40% | 2.52 | – |
| Home or draw | 60% | 1.66 | – |
| Draw or away | 62% | 1.62 | – |
| Home or away | 78% | 1.29 | – |
| Over 1.5 goals | 83% | 1.20 | – |
| Over 2.5 goals | 63% | 1.58 | – |
| Over 3.5 goals | 41% | 2.44 | – |
| Under 2.5 goals | 37% | 2.71 | – |
| Under 3.5 goals | 59% | 1.69 | – |
| Both teams score | 64% | 1.56 | – |
| Not both teams score | 36% | 2.79 | – |
A price above the fair price is worth more than the chance says; below it, the bookmaker's margin outweighs it.