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National League · England
Carlisle vs Harrogate
Our pick
Our pick for this match is published about 48 hours before kick-off.
Published , before kick-off, and never changed.
Expected goals
Carlisle1.64
Harrogate1.18
Total 2.82 goals expected.
Chances by market
bookmakers' chance with their margin removed where priced, else our models'| Market | Chance | Fair price | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Home win | 47% | 2.12 | 1.97 |
| Draw | 25% | 4.04 | 3.60 |
| Away win | 28% | 3.56 | 3.20 |
| Home or draw | 72% | 1.39 | 1.29 |
| Draw or away | 53% | 1.88 | 1.74 |
| Home or away | 75% | 1.34 | 1.24 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 83% | 1.21 | 1.15 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 60% | 1.66 | 1.55 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 38% | 2.62 | 2.37 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 40% | 2.53 | 2.29 |
| Under 3.5 goals | 62% | 1.62 | 1.52 |
| Both teams score | 63% | 1.58 | 1.49 |
| Not both teams score | 37% | 2.72 | 2.45 |
A price above the fair price is worth more than the chance says; below it, the bookmaker's margin outweighs it.