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Primeira Liga · Portugal
Casa Pia vs Sporting CP
Our pick
Our pick for this match is published about 48 hours before kick-off.
Published , before kick-off, and never changed.
Expected goals
Casa Pia0.73
Sporting CP2.44
Total 3.18 goals expected.
Chances by market
bookmakers' chance with their margin removed where priced, else our models'| Market | Chance | Fair price | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Home win | 9% | 10.78 | – |
| Draw | 16% | 6.44 | – |
| Away win | 75% | 1.33 | – |
| Home or draw | 25% | 4.03 | – |
| Draw or away | 91% | 1.10 | – |
| Home or away | 84% | 1.18 | – |
| Over 1.5 goals | 82% | 1.21 | – |
| Over 2.5 goals | 61% | 1.63 | – |
| Over 3.5 goals | 39% | 2.55 | – |
| Under 2.5 goals | 39% | 2.60 | – |
| Under 3.5 goals | 61% | 1.64 | – |
| Both teams score | 47% | 2.12 | – |
| Not both teams score | 53% | 1.90 | – |
A price above the fair price is worth more than the chance says; below it, the bookmaker's margin outweighs it.