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Liga Profesional · Argentina
Central Córdoba vs Vélez Sarsfield
Full time: 0-5
Our pick
LostUnder 3.5
Chance
83%
Fair price
1.20
Take at least
1.26
- Our models: 83%.
- Expected goals: 2.1 (Central Córdoba 1.0, Vélez Sarsfield 1.1).
- Fair price: 1.20. No bookmaker price yet: worth taking at 1.26 or more.
Published , before kick-off, and never changed.
Expected goals
Central Córdoba1.02
Vélez Sarsfield1.12
Total 2.14 goals expected.
Chances by market
bookmakers' chance with their margin removed where priced, else our models'| Market | Chance | Fair price | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Home win | 32% | 3.15 | – |
| Draw | 32% | 3.16 | – |
| Away win | 37% | 2.74 | – |
| Home or draw | 63% | 1.58 | – |
| Draw or away | 68% | 1.47 | – |
| Home or away | 68% | 1.46 | – |
| Over 1.5 goals | 64% | 1.56 | – |
| Over 2.5 goals | 36% | 2.76 | – |
| Over 3.5 goals | 17% | 5.89 | – |
| Under 2.5 goals | 64% | 1.57 | – |
| Under 3.5 goals | 83% | 1.20 | – |
| Both teams score | 44% | 2.26 | – |
| Not both teams score | 56% | 1.79 | – |
A price above the fair price is worth more than the chance says; below it, the bookmaker's margin outweighs it.