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Serie B · Italy
Cesena vs Empoli
Our pick
76% chanceUnder 3.5
Chance
76%
Fair price
1.31
Take at least
1.38
- Our models: 76%.
- Expected goals: 2.5 (Cesena 1.3, Empoli 1.2).
- Fair price: 1.31. No bookmaker price yet: worth taking at 1.38 or more.
Published , before kick-off, and never changed.
Expected goals
Cesena1.30
Empoli1.17
Total 2.47 goals expected.
Chances by market
bookmakers' chance with their margin removed where priced, else our models'| Market | Chance | Fair price | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Home win | 39% | 2.57 | – |
| Draw | 29% | 3.47 | – |
| Away win | 32% | 3.09 | – |
| Home or draw | 68% | 1.48 | – |
| Draw or away | 61% | 1.64 | – |
| Home or away | 71% | 1.40 | – |
| Over 1.5 goals | 72% | 1.40 | – |
| Over 2.5 goals | 45% | 2.23 | – |
| Over 3.5 goals | 24% | 4.23 | – |
| Under 2.5 goals | 55% | 1.81 | – |
| Under 3.5 goals | 76% | 1.31 | – |
| Both teams score | 51% | 1.96 | – |
| Not both teams score | 49% | 2.04 | – |
A price above the fair price is worth more than the chance says; below it, the bookmaker's margin outweighs it.