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Campeonato de Portugal · Portugal
Chaves B vs SC Braga B
Full time: 0-1
Our pick
WonUnder 4.5
Chance
85%
Fair price
1.18
Take at least
1.24
- Our models: 85%.
- Expected goals: 2.8 (Chaves B 1.2, SC Braga B 1.6).
- Fair price: 1.18. No bookmaker price yet: worth taking at 1.24 or more.
Published , before kick-off, and never changed.
Expected goals
Chaves B1.19
SC Braga B1.59
Total 2.79 goals expected.
Chances by market
bookmakers' chance with their margin removed where priced, else our models'| Market | Chance | Fair price | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Home win | 31% | 3.26 | 2.90 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.70 | 3.25 |
| Away win | 42% | 2.36 | 2.15 |
| Home or draw | 53% | 1.88 | – |
| Draw or away | 71% | 1.40 | – |
| Home or away | 76% | 1.32 | – |
| Over 1.5 goals | 77% | 1.31 | – |
| Over 2.5 goals | 53% | 1.90 | – |
| Over 3.5 goals | 30% | 3.28 | – |
| Under 2.5 goals | 47% | 2.12 | – |
| Under 3.5 goals | 70% | 1.44 | – |
| Both teams score | 55% | 1.81 | – |
| Not both teams score | 45% | 2.24 | – |
A price above the fair price is worth more than the chance says; below it, the bookmaker's margin outweighs it.