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Premier League · England
Chelsea vs Manchester United
Our pick
Our pick for this match is published about 48 hours before kick-off.
Published , before kick-off, and never changed.
Expected goals
Chelsea1.84
Manchester United1.48
Total 3.32 goals expected.
Chances by market
bookmakers' chance with their margin removed where priced, else our models'| Market | Chance | Fair price | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Home win | 49% | 2.06 | 2.08 |
| Draw | 24% | 4.10 | 4.10 |
| Away win | 27% | 3.71 | 3.70 |
| Home or draw | 69% | 1.45 | – |
| Draw or away | 54% | 1.85 | – |
| Home or away | 77% | 1.29 | – |
| Over 1.5 goals | 84% | 1.18 | – |
| Over 2.5 goals | 61% | 1.64 | 1.63 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 40% | 2.48 | 2.30 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 39% | 2.55 | 2.44 |
| Under 3.5 goals | 60% | 1.68 | 1.60 |
| Both teams score | 65% | 1.54 | – |
| Not both teams score | 35% | 2.86 | – |
A price above the fair price is worth more than the chance says; below it, the bookmaker's margin outweighs it.