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Liga MX · Mexico
Club América vs CF Pachuca
Full time: 1-2
Our pick
WonOver 1.5
Chance
84%
Fair price
1.20
Best price found
1.15
- Bookmakers' combined chance, margin removed: 84% (4 bookmakers).
- Our models: 74% to 76%.
- Expected goals: 2.7 (Club América 1.8, CF Pachuca 0.9).
- Fair price: 1.20. Best price found: 1.15.
Published , before kick-off, and never changed.
Expected goals
Club América1.83
CF Pachuca0.90
Total 2.72 goals expected.
Chances by market
bookmakers' chance with their margin removed where priced, else our models'| Market | Chance | Fair price | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Home win | 61% | 1.65 | 1.56 |
| Draw | 22% | 4.64 | 4.13 |
| Away win | 18% | 5.59 | 4.88 |
| Home or draw | 81% | 1.23 | 1.15 |
| Draw or away | 41% | 2.45 | 2.28 |
| Home or away | 78% | 1.28 | 1.19 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 84% | 1.20 | 1.15 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 62% | 1.62 | 1.53 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 39% | 2.55 | 2.35 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 38% | 2.62 | 2.39 |
| Under 3.5 goals | 61% | 1.65 | 1.56 |
| Both teams score | 59% | 1.70 | 1.59 |
| Not both teams score | 41% | 2.42 | 2.21 |
A price above the fair price is worth more than the chance says; below it, the bookmaker's margin outweighs it.