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Premier League · England
Crystal Palace vs Newcastle
Full time: 0-2
Our pick
WonOver 1.5
Chance
84%
Fair price
1.19
Best price found
1.15
- Bookmakers' combined chance, margin removed: 84% (3 bookmakers).
- Our models: 83%.
- Expected goals: 3.2 (Crystal Palace 1.6, Newcastle 1.6).
- Fair price: 1.19. Best price found: 1.15.
Published , before kick-off, and never changed.
Expected goals
Crystal Palace1.63
Newcastle1.56
Total 3.19 goals expected.
Chances by market
bookmakers' chance with their margin removed where priced, else our models'| Market | Chance | Fair price | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Home win | 33% | 3.03 | 3.00 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.87 | 3.80 |
| Away win | 41% | 2.43 | 2.44 |
| Home or draw | 59% | 1.69 | 1.58 |
| Draw or away | 68% | 1.48 | 1.38 |
| Home or away | 73% | 1.37 | 1.28 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 84% | 1.19 | 1.15 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 61% | 1.64 | 1.57 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 40% | 2.48 | 2.25 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 39% | 2.56 | 2.38 |
| Under 3.5 goals | 60% | 1.68 | 1.60 |
| Both teams score | 65% | 1.54 | 1.46 |
| Not both teams score | 35% | 2.86 | 2.59 |
A price above the fair price is worth more than the chance says; below it, the bookmaker's margin outweighs it.