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National League North / South · England
Dorking vs Hemel Hempstead
Our pick
87% chanceUnder 4.5
Chance
87%
Fair price
1.15
Take at least
1.21
- Our models: 87%.
- Expected goals: 2.7 (Dorking 1.7, Hemel Hempstead 1.0).
- Fair price: 1.15. No bookmaker price yet: worth taking at 1.21 or more.
Published , before kick-off, and never changed.
Expected goals
Dorking1.68
Hemel Hempstead0.98
Total 2.66 goals expected.
Chances by market
bookmakers' chance with their margin removed where priced, else our models'| Market | Chance | Fair price | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Home win | 54% | 1.86 | – |
| Draw | 24% | 4.10 | – |
| Away win | 22% | 4.57 | – |
| Home or draw | 78% | 1.28 | – |
| Draw or away | 46% | 2.16 | – |
| Home or away | 76% | 1.32 | – |
| Over 1.5 goals | 74% | 1.34 | – |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50% | 2.02 | – |
| Over 3.5 goals | 28% | 3.61 | – |
| Under 2.5 goals | 50% | 1.98 | – |
| Under 3.5 goals | 72% | 1.38 | – |
| Both teams score | 51% | 1.97 | – |
| Not both teams score | 49% | 2.04 | – |
A price above the fair price is worth more than the chance says; below it, the bookmaker's margin outweighs it.