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National League North / South · England
Dover Athletic vs Chelmsford
Our pick
87% chanceHT Under 2.5
Chance
87%
Fair price
1.15
Take at least
1.21
- Our models: 87%.
- Expected goals: 2.8 (Dover Athletic 1.2, Chelmsford 1.6).
- Fair price: 1.15. No bookmaker price yet: worth taking at 1.21 or more.
Published , before kick-off, and never changed.
Expected goals
Dover Athletic1.20
Chelmsford1.61
Total 2.81 goals expected.
Chances by market
bookmakers' chance with their margin removed where priced, else our models'| Market | Chance | Fair price | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Home win | 28% | 3.54 | – |
| Draw | 25% | 4.04 | – |
| Away win | 47% | 2.13 | – |
| Home or draw | 53% | 1.89 | – |
| Draw or away | 72% | 1.39 | – |
| Home or away | 75% | 1.33 | – |
| Over 1.5 goals | 77% | 1.30 | – |
| Over 2.5 goals | 53% | 1.88 | – |
| Over 3.5 goals | 31% | 3.23 | – |
| Under 2.5 goals | 47% | 2.14 | – |
| Under 3.5 goals | 69% | 1.45 | – |
| Both teams score | 56% | 1.79 | – |
| Not both teams score | 44% | 2.27 | – |
A price above the fair price is worth more than the chance says; below it, the bookmaker's margin outweighs it.