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Eredivisie · Netherlands
Excelsior vs Twente
Our pick
Our pick for this match is published about 48 hours before kick-off.
Published , before kick-off, and never changed.
Expected goals
Excelsior1.10
Twente1.70
Total 2.80 goals expected.
Chances by market
bookmakers' chance with their margin removed where priced, else our models'| Market | Chance | Fair price | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Home win | 24% | 4.12 | – |
| Draw | 25% | 4.07 | – |
| Away win | 51% | 1.96 | – |
| Home or draw | 49% | 2.05 | – |
| Draw or away | 76% | 1.32 | – |
| Home or away | 75% | 1.33 | – |
| Over 1.5 goals | 77% | 1.30 | – |
| Over 2.5 goals | 53% | 1.88 | – |
| Over 3.5 goals | 31% | 3.24 | – |
| Under 2.5 goals | 47% | 2.13 | – |
| Under 3.5 goals | 69% | 1.45 | – |
| Both teams score | 55% | 1.82 | – |
| Not both teams score | 45% | 2.21 | – |
A price above the fair price is worth more than the chance says; below it, the bookmaker's margin outweighs it.