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Bundesliga · Germany
FC Bayern München vs Dortmund
Our pick
Our pick for this match is published about 48 hours before kick-off.
Published , before kick-off, and never changed.
Expected goals
FC Bayern München2.47
Dortmund1.28
Total 3.75 goals expected.
Chances by market
bookmakers' chance with their margin removed where priced, else our models'| Market | Chance | Fair price | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Home win | 72% | 1.39 | 1.36 |
| Draw | 15% | 6.57 | 6.00 |
| Away win | 13% | 7.94 | 7.50 |
| Home or draw | 82% | 1.22 | – |
| Draw or away | 37% | 2.70 | – |
| Home or away | 81% | 1.24 | – |
| Over 1.5 goals | 89% | 1.12 | – |
| Over 2.5 goals | 79% | 1.26 | 1.22 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 52% | 1.94 | – |
| Under 2.5 goals | 21% | 4.86 | 4.33 |
| Under 3.5 goals | 48% | 2.06 | – |
| Both teams score | 67% | 1.50 | – |
| Not both teams score | 33% | 2.99 | – |
A price above the fair price is worth more than the chance says; below it, the bookmaker's margin outweighs it.