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Liga Portugal 2 · Portugal
FC Porto B vs Leiria
Full time: 1-1
Our pick
WonX2 (Draw/Away)
Chance
75%
Fair price
1.32
Best price found
1.22
- Bookmakers' combined chance, margin removed: 75% (5 bookmakers).
- Our models: 69%.
- Expected goals: 2.8 (FC Porto B 1.2, Leiria 1.5).
- Fair price: 1.32. Best price found: 1.22.
Published , before kick-off, and never changed.
Expected goals
FC Porto B1.25
Leiria1.53
Total 2.77 goals expected.
Chances by market
bookmakers' chance with their margin removed where priced, else our models'| Market | Chance | Fair price | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Home win | 25% | 4.03 | 3.58 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.74 | 3.33 |
| Away win | 48% | 2.06 | 1.92 |
| Home or draw | 51% | 1.96 | 1.81 |
| Draw or away | 75% | 1.32 | 1.22 |
| Home or away | 74% | 1.36 | 1.25 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 74% | 1.34 | 1.28 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 49% | 2.04 | 1.91 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 27% | 3.74 | 3.27 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 51% | 1.96 | 1.84 |
| Under 3.5 goals | 73% | 1.37 | 1.30 |
| Both teams score | 53% | 1.88 | 1.75 |
| Not both teams score | 47% | 2.14 | 1.96 |
A price above the fair price is worth more than the chance says; below it, the bookmaker's margin outweighs it.