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Serie A · Italy
Fiorentina vs Atalanta
Our pick
Our pick for this match is published about 48 hours before kick-off.
Published , before kick-off, and never changed.
Expected goals
Fiorentina1.42
Atalanta1.60
Total 3.02 goals expected.
Chances by market
bookmakers' chance with their margin removed where priced, else our models'| Market | Chance | Fair price | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Home win | 42% | 2.37 | 2.30 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.81 | 3.65 |
| Away win | 32% | 3.17 | 3.10 |
| Home or draw | 69% | 1.44 | 1.35 |
| Draw or away | 57% | 1.76 | 1.65 |
| Home or away | 74% | 1.35 | 1.26 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 81% | 1.23 | 1.19 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 56% | 1.78 | 1.74 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 37% | 2.70 | 2.51 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 44% | 2.28 | 2.20 |
| Under 3.5 goals | 63% | 1.59 | 1.52 |
| Both teams score | 63% | 1.60 | 1.51 |
| Not both teams score | 37% | 2.68 | 2.44 |
A price above the fair price is worth more than the chance says; below it, the bookmaker's margin outweighs it.