← All predictions
Série A · Brazil
Flamengo vs Atlético Mineiro
Our pick
83% chance12 (Home/Away)
Chance
83%
Fair price
1.21
Best price found
1.13
- Bookmakers' combined chance, margin removed: 83% (5 bookmakers).
- Our models: 79%.
- Expected goals: 2.7 (Flamengo 2.0, Atlético Mineiro 0.8).
- Fair price: 1.21. Best price found: 1.13.
Published , before kick-off, and never changed.
Expected goals
Flamengo1.95
Atlético Mineiro0.76
Total 2.71 goals expected.
Chances by market
bookmakers' chance with their margin removed where priced, else our models'| Market | Chance | Fair price | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Home win | 73% | 1.36 | 1.31 |
| Draw | 17% | 5.79 | 5.17 |
| Away win | 9% | 10.60 | 8.85 |
| Home or draw | 89% | 1.12 | 1.05 |
| Draw or away | 28% | 3.54 | 3.32 |
| Home or away | 83% | 1.21 | 1.13 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 82% | 1.21 | 1.17 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 60% | 1.66 | 1.58 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 38% | 2.64 | 2.43 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 40% | 2.52 | 2.35 |
| Under 3.5 goals | 62% | 1.61 | 1.53 |
| Both teams score | 49% | 2.04 | 1.89 |
| Not both teams score | 51% | 1.96 | 1.82 |
A price above the fair price is worth more than the chance says; below it, the bookmaker's margin outweighs it.