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Campeonato de Portugal · Portugal
Florgrade FC vs CD Cinfães
Full time: 2-0
Our pick
WonUnder 3.5
Chance
82%
Fair price
1.22
Take at least
1.28
- Our models: 82%.
- Expected goals: 2.2 (Florgrade FC 1.2, CD Cinfães 1.0).
- Fair price: 1.22. No bookmaker price yet: worth taking at 1.28 or more.
Published , before kick-off, and never changed.
Expected goals
Florgrade FC1.22
CD Cinfães0.97
Total 2.19 goals expected.
Chances by market
bookmakers' chance with their margin removed where priced, else our models'| Market | Chance | Fair price | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Home win | 36% | 2.77 | 2.50 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.50 | 3.10 |
| Away win | 35% | 2.83 | 2.55 |
| Home or draw | 70% | 1.42 | – |
| Draw or away | 58% | 1.72 | – |
| Home or away | 71% | 1.40 | – |
| Over 1.5 goals | 64% | 1.56 | – |
| Over 2.5 goals | 37% | 2.67 | – |
| Over 3.5 goals | 18% | 5.59 | – |
| Under 2.5 goals | 63% | 1.60 | – |
| Under 3.5 goals | 82% | 1.22 | – |
| Both teams score | 44% | 2.29 | – |
| Not both teams score | 56% | 1.77 | – |
A price above the fair price is worth more than the chance says; below it, the bookmaker's margin outweighs it.