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Primera A · Colombia
Fortaleza FC vs Deportivo Cali
Full time: 1-1
Our pick
LostHT Under 1.5
Chance
78%
Fair price
1.28
Take at least
1.34
- Our models: 78% to 79%.
- Expected goals: 1.9 (Fortaleza FC 0.9, Deportivo Cali 1.0).
- Fair price: 1.28. No bookmaker price yet: worth taking at 1.34 or more.
Published , before kick-off, and never changed.
Expected goals
Fortaleza FC0.89
Deportivo Cali1.04
Total 1.93 goals expected.
Chances by market
bookmakers' chance with their margin removed where priced, else our models'| Market | Chance | Fair price | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Home win | 29% | 3.48 | 3.17 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.43 | 3.12 |
| Away win | 42% | 2.37 | 2.21 |
| Home or draw | 63% | 1.59 | – |
| Draw or away | 71% | 1.41 | – |
| Home or away | 67% | 1.50 | – |
| Over 1.5 goals | 58% | 1.71 | – |
| Over 2.5 goals | 42% | 2.36 | 2.20 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 13% | 7.70 | – |
| Under 2.5 goals | 58% | 1.74 | 1.65 |
| Under 3.5 goals | 87% | 1.15 | – |
| Both teams score | 49% | 2.02 | 1.87 |
| Not both teams score | 51% | 1.98 | 1.83 |
A price above the fair price is worth more than the chance says; below it, the bookmaker's margin outweighs it.